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The Telegraph
Opinion
Prepare for the downfall of Kamala Harris
Emily Jashinsky
Tue, February 27, 2024 at 10:14 AM EST·3 min read
3.2k

Kamala Harris is no replacement - Joshua Roberts/Reuters

If in 2019 a Democratic strategist peered five years into the future and
learned Joe Biden was president and his health was failing, news of
Biden’s veep pick would come as sweet relief. Glamour Magazine’s 2018
“Woman of the Year,” a former California attorney general and US
senator, Kamala Harris looked like the bright future of the Democratic
Party.

Now, though, most observers anxious about Biden’s public senility find
no solace in Harris. If Biden needed to be replaced as the Democratic
nominee, scuttlebutt suggests establishment Democrats would prefer to
skip over Harris and look first to Govs. Gavin Newsom or Gretchen
Whitmer. This is not normal.

Harris, for her part, has proven to be less than normal as vice
president. Most notably, she’s become a font of aphorisms so inscrutable
that viral infamy is assured nearly every time Harris gives a major
speech or interview. Consider her thoughts on the children of the
community: “When we talk about the children of the community, they are a
children of the community.”

Back in 2022, Harris mustered a sense of urgency: “It is time for us to
do what we have been doing, and that time is every day.”

Harris also shared some thoughts on the calendar. “The significance of
the passage of time, right? The significance of the passage of time. So
when you think about it, there is great significance to the passage of
time,” said the vice president.

On Putin’s invasion, a major priority of her administration, Harris told
a radio audience, “So Ukraine is a country in Europe. It exists next to
another country called Russia. Russia is a bigger country. Russia is a
powerful country. Russia decided to invade a smaller country called
Ukraine. So, basically, that’s wrong.”

Losing so much political capital is not easy work. Harris’s much-hyped
presidential campaign crashed and burned, a spectacular implosion that
reflects necessarily on the candidate’s ability to lead. Her
business-friendly cultural leftism is less appealing after the uproar of
2020, and her vague postures no longer come across as lofty so much as
they seem evasive.

The numbers bear this out. Harris’s favourability rating climbed
steadily from her presidential campaign launch in 2019 to her
inauguration in 2021. In the three years since, her favourability has
dipped significantly, according to polling trends.

In January, for instance, an Economist/You Gov poll put Harris’s net
favourability at -12. Back in January of 2019, another Economist/You Gov
poll put her net favourability at zero, with 35 per cent of adults
favourable and 35 per cent unfavourable. Now, 42 per cent are favourable
and 54 per cent are unfavourable. Most polls since 2022 have found a
majority of respondents harbor an unfavourable impression of the veep.

A Los Angeles Times analysis in January found “Harris’ net favourability
is slightly lower than that of former Vice President Mike Pence at this
point in their respective tenures, and it’s well under the ratings of
three previous vice presidents.”

That’s especially devastating for a woman who found herself splashed on
the covers of glossy magazines, enjoying eager support from fawning
journalists. Pence, of course, experienced nothing of the sort. Harris
really had it all.

Now, amid the fallout from Special Counsel Robert Hur’s description of
Biden as a “sympathetic, well-meaning elderly man with a poor memory,”
Harris stands to lose it all if the commander-in-chief willingly gives
up his grip on power. Already, analysts are jumping to explore the legal
mechanisms by which Democrats could nominate someone other than Harris.
Hardly anyone believes she’d top the ticket if party bosses have a choice.

Once a good bet for the Democratic nomination, Harris is now not even a
good bet for Biden’s replacement – and she’s the vice president.

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